CUE Research · Study 12
More than twelve thousand senators and representatives since 1789: the largest study CUE has run.
The question: Across twelve thousand lawmakers, do any numbers, signs or birthdays appear more often than chance?
Every member: Jan–Mar appears 3232 times against about 2981.5 expected (1.08×).
Representatives: Jan–Mar appears 2737 times against about 2513.5 expected (1.09×).
Every member: Apr–Jun appears only 2780 times against about 3006.1 expected.
Born since 1950: Dragon appears 130 times against about 94.3 expected (1.38×).
Representatives: Apr–Jun appears only 2375 times against about 2534.3 expected.
Every member: Feb appears 1038 times against about 933.4 expected (1.11×).
Senators: Apr–Jun appears only 405 times against about 471.9 expected.
Every member: Jul appears only 918 times against about 1024.1 expected.
Republicans: Jan–Mar appears 1349 times against about 1245.9 expected (1.08×).
Republicans: Apr–Jun appears only 1155 times against about 1256.1 expected.
Every member: Cancer appears only 955 times against about 1057.1 expected.
Representatives: Feb appears 874 times against about 786.8 expected (1.11×).
Every member: Gemini appears only 927 times against about 1024.1 expected.
Every member: Jan–Mar appears 3232 times against about 2981.5 expected. That is a clear difference for a group of 12066.
Before 1900, births in the United States were not spread evenly through the year: they peaked in late winter and early spring. The baseline assumes an even spread, so part of the early-year excess here reflects when babies were born at the time, not who went to Congress.
With twelve thousand people, even small differences can be detected. That cuts both ways: a real but tiny effect can show up as clear, so the study reports how big each difference is, not just whether it is there.
Members were born over nearly three centuries, and each group’s baseline uses its own birth years.
Reproduce it: the raw data snapshots and build scripts are in CUE’s code repository (scripts/data and scripts/build-*-study.mts).